India’s cash deficit to worsen: JP Morgan

J.P.Morgan held that:

  • Since Govt spending remains half hearted, India’s liquidity deficit will decline more, hitting 1.5 lakh crore in June 2012.
  • Core liquidity deficit could hit 1 lakh crore by the end of June, 2012.

For this JP Morgan recommended:

  • The deficit would only come down if there are more cuts in the CRR or more open market operations.
  • If they want to bring down core liquidity deficit to their comfort band, RBI needs to purchase Rs 35,000 crore in bonds via OMOs by June, 2012.
  • Since investors continue to receive 5-year OIS as weak rupee likely to induce greater intervention by the RBI, and thus sterilisation via OMOs, which will push down bond yields.

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Comments

  • roshan12
    Reply

    politicians should debate about these issues, not on frivolous cartoons, that are meant to be enjoyed