In view of the recent geopolitical tensions, how can India ensure its energy security? What are the challenges presented by these geo-political tensions? Suggest a way forward.

 

India is dependent on imports for majority of its fuel supply. The ongoing geopolitical tensions around the world, including Russia-Ukraine war, tensions among gulf nations, have severely impacted India’s energy security.

Geopolitical dynamics:

  • Due to the Covid-19 epidemic, major oil-producing nations drastically reduced oil output. 
  • The supply routes have been hampered by the Russian-Ukrainian war. Additionally, the US’s sanctions against Russia, Iran, and Venezuela have decreased the availability of petroleum on the world market, which has caused price increases. 
  • Early in October 2022, OPEC decided to reduce oil supply in order to raise prices.
  • UAE, another significant oil producer, had drone assaults in January on oil installations. 
  • An outage on a major oil pipeline linking Saudi Arabia and Turkey exacerbated the situation.

Impact on India:

  • Energy security of India is threatened because of sanctions on Iran & Russia.
  • The increase in oil prices are increasing the country’s import bill, and further increasing its current account deficit.
  • The increase in crude prices could also further increase inflationary pressures that have been building up over the past few months.
  • Fiscal Health will be negatively impacted.

Way forward:

  • Diversifying India’s energy basket.
  • Increasing reliance on sustainable energy resources like solar, wind, etc.
  • Increasing production of biofuels like compressed biogas, bio-ethanol.
  • Accelerating green hydrogen mission.

Conclusion:

The current geopolitical tensions further put even more emphasis on the need to become self-sufficient for energy needs. It is crucial to become resilient of global supply chain disruptions and make India Atmanirbhar.

Originally written on May 24, 2024 and last modified on October 27, 2024.

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