India-U.S. Trade Tensions Over Russian Oil Imports

The ongoing trade dispute between India and the United States has escalated. The U.S. imposed a 25% penalty tariff on Indian goods due to India’s continued import of Russian oil. This came after failed Free Trade Agreement (FTA) negotiations and earlier reciprocal tariffs by the U.S. India has yet to retaliate officially but faces economic and diplomatic challenges.
Background of U.S. Tariffs on India
On August 6, the U.S. announced a 25% penalty tariff targeting Indian imports linked to Russian oil purchases. This followed a 25% reciprocal tariff imposed on Indian goods from August 7 after FTA talks collapsed. The tariffs aim to pressure India to reduce its Russian oil imports amid Western sanctions on Russia. The penalty tariffs will take effect from August 27.
India’s Response to U.S. Tariffs
India criticised the U.S. and European Union for selectively targeting its Russian oil imports while continuing their own trade with Russia. The Ministry of External Affairs called the U.S. actions unfair and vowed to protect national interests. Prime Minister Narendra Modi expressed readiness to bear personal costs to safeguard farmers and producers affected by trade tensions. India has not announced direct retaliatory tariffs so far.
India’s Dependence on Russian Oil
India’s Russian oil imports surged after the Ukraine war began in 2022. By mid-2023, Russia supplied over 35% of India’s crude oil, making it the largest supplier. Indian companies benefit from discounted Russian crude, saving billions annually. Investments also link Indian firms with Russian oil production and refining, deepening economic ties. Reducing imports would hurt India economically and politically.
Potential for Resolution
U.S. President Donald Trump’s planned meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin on August 15 may influence tariff policies. The U.S. has allowed tariff modifications if Russia makes moves to end the Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, U.S. negotiators will visit India later in August to explore a possible mini-trade deal. India faces a difficult choice between market access concessions and continuing Russian oil imports.
Impact on India-U.S. Relations
The dispute strains a relationship built over decades through defence, technology, and strategic cooperation. India’s refusal to halt Russian oil imports contrasts with its earlier compliance with U.S. demands on Iranian oil. Diplomatic efforts continue with visits by Indian officials to Moscow and planned meetings with U.S. counterparts. The outcome will affect broader geopolitical alignments including the Quad and SCO summits.
Broader Implications
The tariffs disrupt Indian exports, especially garments, as U.S. buyers shift to competitors with lower tariffs. India’s strategic autonomy is tested amid global power rivalries. The balancing act involves maintaining ties with Russia, managing U.S. relations, and securing energy needs. The dispute marks challenges in global trade linked to geopolitical conflicts and sanctions regimes.