Nuclear Weapons Landscape in 2025

The global nuclear weapons landscape in 2025 is defined by the presence of nine countries with nuclear capabilities. The five original nuclear powers are the United States, Russia, China, France, and the United Kingdom. These nations are signatories to the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT). This treaty aims to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and promote disarmament.
Current Nuclear Arsenal Overview
As of January 2025, the estimated number of nuclear warheads by country is as follows – Russia holds 4,309 warheads, while the United States has 3,700. China possesses 600, France has 290, and the United Kingdom holds 225. India and Pakistan have 180 and 170 warheads, respectively. Israel is believed to have 90, while North Korea has 50. This distribution indicates disparity, particularly between India and China.
India and Pakistan’s Nuclear Developments
India conducted its first nuclear test in 1974 and has since expanded its arsenal, with 180 warheads as of early 2025. Pakistan, which has 170 warheads, also continues to develop its nuclear capabilities. Both countries are modernising their delivery systems. India’s new canisterised missiles may allow for rapid deployment and potentially multiple warheads per missile.
China’s Nuclear Expansion
China’s nuclear stockpile includes 600 warheads, with a portion deployed on operational systems. The country has developed dual-capable missiles, enhancing its strategic capabilities. The SIPRI report notes that China is actively modernising its arsenal.
North Korea’s Nuclear Status
North Korea withdrew from the NPT in 2003 and has since conducted several nuclear tests. The country claims its nuclear programme is for defensive purposes. Despite international scrutiny, it continues to enrich uranium to near weapons-grade levels.
Global Nuclear Arms Control Challenges
The NPT aims to prevent nuclear proliferation and promote disarmament. However, countries like India, Pakistan, and Israel remain outside the treaty framework. This complicates global efforts to achieve a nuclear-free world. The ongoing arms race and modernisation initiatives by nuclear states pose challenges to international security.
Implications of Nuclear Developments
The expansion of nuclear arsenals raises concerns about regional stability. The potential for conflict escalation is high, especially in South Asia. The report marks that conventional conflicts could escalate into nuclear crises due to miscalculations or misunderstandings.
Trends in Military Nuclear Capabilities
The SIPRI report indicates that several countries are enhancing their military nuclear capabilities. Russia and the United States have the largest stockpiles. Countries like India and Pakistan are focusing on longer-range weapons, capable of reaching targets across the region.