Cyclone Shakhti Highlights Arabian Sea Warming Trend

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) confirmed the formation of Cyclone Shakhti over the northeast Arabian Sea on 3 October 2025. The cyclone is expected to intensify rapidly and follow a complex trajectory. This event puts stress on the increasing cyclonic activity in the Arabian Sea linked to rising sea temperatures.

Formation and Movement of Cyclone Shakhti

Cyclone Shakhti formed about 340 km west of Dwarka on 3 October 2025. Initially moving west-northwest, it shifted west-southwest while intensifying. By 4 October, it was forecast to become a severe cyclonic storm. The cyclone was expected to reach central parts of the northern and adjoining central Arabian Sea by 5 October. From 6 October, it was predicted to recurve east-northeastwards.

Geographical Impact and Warnings

Shakhti’s location on 3 October was near latitude 22.0N and longitude 66.4E, close to India’s Gujarat coast and Pakistan’s Karachi. Fishermen were advised to avoid the northwest and northeast Arabian Sea, central Arabian Sea, and coasts of Gujarat and north Maharashtra from 3 to 6 October. The warnings aimed to prevent casualties and damage to fishing vessels.

Significance of Arabian Sea Warming

The Arabian Sea has historically seen fewer cyclones than the Bay of Bengal. However, recent years show increased cyclonic activity due to rising sea surface temperatures. Warmer waters fuel rapid intensification of storms. Cyclones Tauktae (2021) and Biparjoy (2023) are recent examples of this trend affecting India’s west coast.

Implications of Rapid Cyclone Intensification

Rapid intensification challenges forecasting and disaster preparedness. It shortens warning times for vulnerable coastal populations. Rising sea temperatures linked to climate change increase the frequency and strength of such storms. This trend demands enhanced monitoring and adaptive strategies for coastal resilience.

Role of Meteorological Agencies

The IMD plays important role in tracking cyclones and issuing timely alerts. Advances in satellite technology and modelling help predict cyclone paths and intensities more accurately. Continuous updates enable authorities to manage evacuations and mitigate damage effectively.